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ArrowChop: Will Travis Kelce break the TE receiving yards record?

With five games left in the season, could Kelce reclaim the record he had once held?

Hello again everyone and welcome to another week of the ArrowChop! This is the column where we look at the positives/negatives of a certain Chiefs/NFL issue and look at both sides of the aisle. Then you, the readers, will come to your conclusions after I lay out the case. So sit back, relax, and enjoy as we breakdown this week’s hot topic.

Travis Kelce, arguably THE best tight end in the NFL, is showing the league and its fans his prestigious dominance. As of right now, Kelce has 978 receiving yards this season, which puts him at 2nd place in the receiving yard standings (first is Tyreek Hill with 1,021 yards) as of Sunday night.

This feat doesn’t come easy, but due to the monstrous performances he has put in week in and week out, this season is shaping up to be another spectacular one in the record books. In 2018, he broke the record for most receiving yards by a tight end in NFL history but was thwarted by Kittle in the end. This year, he could take the record right back.

Kelce needs 399 receiving yards in the next five games to do this (the record is 1,377), so with that said, will he be able to break the receiving yards in a season record for a tight end, or will he falter at the last moment? Let’s break down both sides of the aisle to see what holds more truth:

Kelce will break the record

When looking at his averages, he could easily break this record. Kelce is averaging about 89 receiving yards per game, and if we multiply by that by five (amount if regular-season games remaining), he’ll have 445 receiving yards in those games (if they’re all average). He has had four 100+ yard games and has had seven games with 80+ yards (including the four with 100+), so it seems as though stats are on his side. That’s not the only thing he has though:

The remaining schedule, besides for a few games, makes this feat easier for him. The Chiefs to face the Broncos, the Dolphins, the Saints, the Falcons, and the Chargers in that order. He had his worst game of the season (three catches for 31 yards) against the Broncos, but that could easily change as he has averaged around 82 receiving yards per game against them throughout his career.

The Dolphins could be a struggle for him with how impressive their defense has been this season; the same reason goes with the Saints. The Falcons have the 31st ranked pass defense in the league, so a 100-yard game doesn’t seem like a surprise in that one, and he had a 90-yard game against the Chargers already this season; so, he could break the record in that game.

Fans also can’t forget about who he has throwing to him; the MVP favorite, Patrick Mahomes II. Kelce is one of his favorite targets to throw to besides Tyreek; moreover, he was of the more reliable pass catchers out on the field with him having six or more catches in all but three games this season. The connection they have is superb, and no tight end/quarterback duo can take up to their’s (unless it’s Brady and Gronk; then there’s a heated debate).

Kelce won’t break the record

This could be looked at from the Dolphins and Saints games that could lead to lower receiving yards than usual. All he needs is one or two meh/bad games for this to occur, and the Saints game is the largest obstacle for this. They have the 5th ranked pass defense in the league by only allowing 208.3 passing yards per game, and you can thank Marshon Lattimore, Malcolm Jenkins, and others for this. This can be a game where it’s making or breaking for the record, and it’ll be tough to break, especially with that secondary and linebacking group.

The Dolphins could be a surprise to make this happen as they have improved drastically. Although they are ranked 17th in pass defense, the highest receiving yards they’ve allowed a tight end in the last five games is Noah Fant at 55 yards. If they could clamp him down, they could make this journey for the record ten times harder than it should be.

Do you think Kelce will break the record? Leave a comment down below with your thoughts to join the discussion. Thanks for reading, and have a fantastic day!

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